Conf = Patriot ------ State = A
Mascot = Crusaders ------ Coach = J.L. ReppertGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9385986 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.2) 8-15 207 A Queens ASUN ( 3-11, 85.7) 13-12 211 H Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 86.6) 14- 9 215 A Sacred Heart MAAC (12- 3, 91.5) 7-11 222 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 8- 5, 93.6) 4-14 301 H Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 91.3) 11-10 304 H Merrimack MAAC ( 3-10, 86.2) 10-11 308 H Army West Point Patriot (12- 2, 98.3) 4-17 315 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 93.7) 8-13 322 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.2) 8- 9 329 A Boston University Patriot (11- 5, 94.9) 4-16 405 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 93.3) 6-10 412 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 92.5) 10-21 419 A Colgate Patriot (10- 8, 96.4) 3-15 424 N UMBC America East ( 7- 4, 91.1) 15- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Providence 8-15 -7 -5 -1.74 207 A Queens 13-12 1 2 -1.28 211 H Massachusetts-Lowell 14- 9 5 3 1.45 215 A Sacred Heart 7-11 -4 -3 -0.45 222 H Dartmouth 4-14 -10 -3 - -3.54 301 H Bucknell 11-10 1 -1 + 2.14 304 H Merrimack 10-11 -1 3 -- -4.95 308 H Army West Point 4-17 -13 -8 0.00 315 A Lafayette 8-13 -5 -5 0.72 322 H Navy 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.03 329 A Boston University 4-16 -12 -6 -0.07 405 H Lehigh 6-10 -4 -3 -0.86 412 A Loyola 10-21 -11 -4 - -2.48 419 A Colgate 3-15 -12 -8 0.00 424 N UMBC 15- 7 8 -2 +++ 9.04UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Merrimack 10-11 -1 3 -- -4.95 222 H Dartmouth 4-14 -10 -3 - -3.54 412 A Loyola 10-21 -11 -4 - -2.48OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 N UMBC 15- 7 8 -2 +++ 9.04 301 H Bucknell 11-10 1 -1 + 2.14 322 H Navy 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.03
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.06 Power Rank................. 56 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.62 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 36 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5618 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 33 RPI Rating............... .4256 RPI Rank................... 62 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 40 Selection sum ........... 161 Selection Rank ............ 57 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -220. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 66 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -225. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 66 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0